Every play, graded.

Our last three football seasons are fully logged below — 43 plays across 2023, 2024, and 2025 — and every football number on this page is computed directly from the ledger. Plays appear here only after their event starts. Golf — separately tracked at 34–21 and up 14 units on the 2026 season — gets its own log next.

Last three seasons

29–14

67% on football weather bets, 2023–2025

2025 season

14–5

74% win rate

2024 season

5–3

63% win rate

2023 season

10–6

63% win rate

Grass vs. turf

Playing surface changes how weather bites — computed from the same ledger.

Surface	Record	Win %
Grass	16–8	67%
Turf	13–6	68%

2025 season — 14–5

19 plays, in ledger order · 74% win rate

#	Game	Bet	Score	Field	Weather	Notes	W/L
1	Raiders @ New England	1st half under 21.5	14-3	Turf	Light to mod rain	—	W
2	Liberty @ Old Dominion	Under 53.5	21-7	Turf	Mod rain	—	W
3	ASU @ Utah	Under 48.5	42-10	Turf	Mod rain	Brutal rush D by ASU; great running QB for Utah	L
4	LA Monroe @ Coastal	Under 45.5	23-8	Turf	Mod rain	—	W
5	USC @ ND	Under 62	34-24	Grass	Mod rain	Lucky to win; they passed the ball well in the rain	W
6	Rams @ Jacksonville	Under 45	35-7	Grass	Mod rain	—	W
7	Dolphins @ Cleveland	Under 40	31-6	Grass	Light rain	—	W
8	Auburn @ Arkansas	Under 1st half 27.5	21-10	Grass	Mod rain	—	L
9	Toledo @ Washington St	Under 1st half	21-7	Turf	Mod rain and wind 20 to 30	—	L
10	Toledo @ Washington St	Under 49	28-7	Turf	Mod rain and wind 20 to 30	—	W
11	Oregon @ Iowa	Under 41.5	18-16	Grass	Mod rain	—	W
12	Navy @ ND	Under pass yards Carr 244	218	Grass	Mod rain	—	W
13	Iowa @ USC	Under 49	26-21	Grass	Mod rain	—	W
14	Northwestern @ Illinois	Under 47.5	20-13	Turf	Accumulation snow	—	W
15	Maryland @ Michigan State	Under 48	38-28	Grass	Light snow	—	L
16	Missouri @ Arkansas	Under 58	31-17	Turf	Mod rain	—	W
17	Colts @ Jacksonville	Under 47.5	36-19	Grass	Mod rain	—	L
18	Saints @ Tampa Bay	Under 48	24-20	Grass	Mod rain	—	W
19	Eagles @ Bills	Under 44	13-12	Turf	Mod rain	—	W

2024 season — 5–3

8 plays, in ledger order · 63% win rate

#	Game	Bet	Score	Field	Weather	Notes	W/L
1	Vikings @ Browns	Under 37	27-12	Grass	Light rain, ended quickly	—	L
2	Akron @ N Illinois	Under 46.5	29-16	Turf	Light to mod rain	—	W
3	Kent St @ Miami of Ohio	Under 48.5	34-7	Turf	Mod rain	—	W
4	Titans @ Jacksonville	Under 38.5	20-13	Grass	Mod rain	—	W
5	LA @ Philly	Under 44.5	28-22	Grass	Snow/Sleet	—	L
6	LA @ Philly	Under live 55.5	28-22	Grass	Snow/Sleet	—	W
7	LA @ Philly	Puka under yards 86	97	Grass	Snow/Sleet	—	L
8	LA @ Philly	AJ under yards 69	14	Grass	Snow/Sleet	—	W

2023 season — 10–6

16 plays, in ledger order · 63% win rate

#	Game	Bet	Score	Field	Weather	Notes	W/L
1	ND vs Navy (Dublin)	Under 50.5	42-3	Grass	Light rain	—	W
2	Eastern Mich @ Minnesota	Under 48	25-6	Turf	Light rain	—	W
3	Philly @ New England	First half under 21.5	16-14	Turf	Light rain	—	L
4	Cowboys @ Giants	Under 48	40-0	Turf	Light to mod rain	—	W
5	Alabama @ South Florida	Under 51	17-3	Grass	Light to mod rain	—	W
6	Duke @ UConn	Under 46	41-7	Grass	Light to mod rain	—	L
7	Patriots @ Jets	Under 36.5	15-10	Turf	Light to mod rain	—	W
8	Carolina @ Seattle	Second half under 21.5	29-10	Turf	Light to mod rain	—	L
9	49ers @ Cleveland	Under 40	17-19	Grass	Light to mod rain	—	W
10	Miami OH @ E. Michigan	Under 44	38-14	Turf	Light rain	—	L
11	Purdue @ Nebraska	Under 44	31-24	Turf	Light rain	—	L
12	Eagles @ Chiefs	Under 47	21-17	Grass	Light rain	—	W
13	Cardinals @ Steelers	Under 39	24-10	Grass	Mod rain	—	W
14	Jags @ Browns	Under 37	27-31	Grass	Light rain	—	L
15	Pittsburgh @ Baltimore	Under 34	17-10	Turf	Mod sleet	—	W
16	Chargers @ Chiefs	Under 44.5	13-12	Grass	Extreme cold below zero	—	W

Bets include full-game and half totals plus player props. Bets marked “live” were placed in-game. Hedge and middle activity is managed in real time for members and is not part of this win-loss ledger.