MLBWin
Yankees @ Cubs — Aug 2
Under 6.5 · 1u
- Line at release
- u6.5
- Released
- Sat, Aug 1, 11:30 PM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Aug 2, 2:20 PM ET
- Score
- NYY 2–CHC 1 · 3 runs
Sustained 16 mph winds were forecast blowing in at Wrigley Field.
First-year launch pricing · $25/month · Cancel anytime
Weather moves totals. The market is slow to price it.
Select weather-driven picks, timestamped at release and documented publicly after the event begins.
- Record: 2026–current · 31 graded · View details
- 21–10 · +3.655u
- Record: 2023–2025 · FOOTBALL ONLY · 67% · flat 1u result units · View details
- 29–14 · +15.000u
- First-year launch pricing. Everything included. Cancel anytime
- $25/mo
- Published publicly 15 minutes after the event starts
- Every play
Public picks ledger
Every pick, including plays in progress.
Picks appear here 15 minutes after the scheduled event start. Open plays show as pending until the result is graded.
- MLBLoss
Yankees @ Cubs
Under 6.5 · 1u
- Line at release
- u6.5
- Released
- Sat, Aug 1, 11:15 AM ET
- Event start
- Sat, Aug 1, 7:15 PM ET
- Score
- NYY 2–CHC 5 · 7 runs
Sustained winds of 15+ mph are blowing in at Wrigley Field.
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Rasmus Højgaard over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-150)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfLoss
3M Open — Round 2
Mackenzie Hughes over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-150)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Max Greyserman over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-120)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfLoss
3M Open — Round 2
Jordan Smith over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-105)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Richard Hoey over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-140)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfLoss
3M Open — Round 2
Mac Meissner over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-110)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Max Homa over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-105)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Jake Knapp over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (+110)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Taylor Pendrith over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-140)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfLoss
3M Open — Round 2
Hideki Matsuyama over 68.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o68.5 (-165)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Scottie Scheffler over 67.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o67.5 (+105)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfLoss
3M Open — Round 2
William Mouw over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-125)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfWin
3M Open — Round 2
Keith Mitchell over 68.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o68.5 (-150)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfLoss
3M Open — Round 2
Michael Brennan over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-110)
- Released
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated
- GolfLoss
The 154th Open — Round 4
Ryan Fox over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o70.5 (-105)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Sam Burns over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-140)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Si Woo Kim over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-140)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Lucas Herbert over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o70.5 (-140)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Ludvig Åberg over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-105)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Ryan Gerard over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o70.5 (+100)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfLoss
The 154th Open — Round 4
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o70.5 (-115)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Bryson DeChambeau over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-115)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Jackson Suber over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o70.5 (-120)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Eric Cole over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o70.5 (-110)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Xander Schauffele over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-115)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfLoss
The 154th Open — Round 4
Tommy Fleetwood over 68.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o68.5 (-165)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Cameron John over 71.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o71.5 (-140)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Daniel Brown over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o70.5 (-140)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
- GolfWin
The 154th Open — Round 4
Hideki Matsuyama over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u
- Line at release
- o69.5 (-165)
- Released
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Event start
- Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
- Score
- Pending
7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.
Here we go
We're finally doing it.
We're officially launching our weather betting service for anyone who wants to come along for the ride. Our specialty is sports betting built around our bread and butter: understanding how weather impacts football scoring.
We also bet golf, MLB, Aussie football, and other sports. More recently, we've found outstanding opportunities in the growing prediction markets.
For the past seven years, I've partnered with a well-known Vegas insider. It's been a great run.
Read our full story →A little about me
I've been obsessed with weather since I was a kid—I probably should have become a meteorologist. I also played Division III college football, which gave me another perspective on how weather truly affects the game.
I've been making weather-based wagers for more than 20 years. About 10 years ago, I significantly increased my betting volume as my confidence in the edge grew.
How it works
Private research. Clear releases.
One angle, worked with discipline. Nothing releases because a weekend needs action.
01
We monitor
Our owners track the weather, venue, timing, and market privately. The working board and its calculations are never published.
02
We wait
Most events do not become picks. A release happens only when the complete internal review supports a position at a playable number.
03
We publish
Subscribers receive the pick, line at release, timestamp, and a concise explanation. Any later update is timestamped the same way.
Why patience matters
Quality over quantity. Patience over action.
Our plays are limited, and discipline is essential. Some weeks we bet games as much as a week ahead when the models look good. Conditions can change, and when they do, we may hedge most of a position or cash out fully.
If you're looking for action every day—or even every week—this probably isn't the right fit. We only bet when we believe the edge is there. If you're looking to add a proven, professional weather-based strategy to your recreational betting, you're in the right place. When the weather creates an edge, we'll be ready to capitalize.
Track record
Every play logged. Every play graded.
Overall, 2023–2025
29–14
67% on football weather bets
2023 season
10–6
63% for the season
2024 season
5–3
63% for the season
2025 season
14–5
74% for the season
The methodology was refined over two decades alongside a well-known professional gambler. Golf, 2026 season to date: 20–9 · +3.655u.
See every play, graded →Subscription
What subscribers get
Timestamped picks
Every official position records exactly when it was published and the line available at release.
Concise release notes
A short explanation gives subscribers the context for the pick without publishing the underlying strategy.
Real-time updates
When an open position changes, subscribers receive a new timestamped instruction immediately.
Golf releases
Covered golf markets use the same pick, timestamp, line, and short-note format.
Results history
The complete graded ledger, the same one this page's record is computed from. Nothing is quietly dropped.
Pricing
One plan. Everything included.
First-year launch pricing
WeatherBet Subscription
$25/month
- Every official NFL/NCAA football, Aussie Football, golf, and baseball pick we release
- Line and timestamp recorded at release
- Concise release notes and updates
- Complete graded results history
First-year launch pricing: $25 billed monthly through Whop. Cancel anytime from your account. No questionnaire or approval process.
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Create your account and get every official WeatherBet release for $25 per month. Cancel anytime.